Joe Biden narrowly won Nevada in 2020 by just over 30,000 votes. The state has strong union support for Democrats but anyone expecting a clear Harris victory there this year might be in for a surprise. Hometown reporter Jon Ralston estimates that about 60% of the vote in the state is already in and so far Republicans have a big advantage.
We are at 790,000 ballots recorded, or 39 percent of registered voters. So I’d guess about 60 percent of the vote is in, maybe a little less. We are going to get at least 75 percent of the vote in before Election Day and maybe as much as 90 percent because of how the GOP has frontloaded its vote…
The GOP’s 40,500-ballot lead (5.2 percent) is now solely a product of the rural firewall. The urban numbers are a wash – Dems up 6,300 in Clark and Rs up 6,300 in Washoe.
From there, Ralston uses past turnout as a guide to…
