Worried about irrational exuberance? Have recurring nightmares about the mythical Red Wave of 2022? Want a way to take the jinx off of all the optimism bubbling up on the Right?
Nate Silver has just the take for you — and while it’s not quite doom and gloom, it certainly puts a different perspective on the data we’ve been seeing at the end. (Well, it’s a little doom and gloom.) In his last data analysis of the election season, Silver concludes that he has no conclusion. However, he gives a slight edge to Kamala Harris in the end, based on 80,000 simulations:
🕒 Last and final update: 12:30 a.m., Tuesday, November 5. Happy Election Day! At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle. Out of 80,000 simulations, Kamala Harris won in 40,012 (50.015%) cases. She did not win in 39,988 simulations…
