The Humiliation of Alan Lichtman, Credentialed Idiot – HotAir

Alan Lichtman has always been a jackass. 

Lichman is famous for his “13 Keys to the White House,” which he claims are a foolproof method for predicting the outcome of presidential elections.  

For those of you unfamiliar with the “13 Keys,” it isn’t insane to think that they, in themselves, are not a good thumbnail way to make a reasonable prediction about the likelihood that one candidate or another will win a presidential election. The keys are:

The 13 keys are:

1. Midterm gains: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. No primary contest: There is no serious primary challenger to the incumbents nomination.
3. Incumbent seeking re-election: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. No third party: There is no significant third party or independent…