We’re in a weeks-long process of confirming nominees of the Donald Trump administration for these 13 Cabinet-level positions. And, I think it may go on all the way through February, given the Democrats’ strategy to oppose, wherever possible, the confirmations.
There’s a general rule, though, that we can make sense that, I think, will apply—has applied to Pete Hegseth. It will apply to Kash Patel, especially, RFK Jr. and others.
And that is three things: The more important the Cabinet position is, the more controversial the vote; the more likely a Republican nominee is going to try to make fundamental and needed changes, the more controversial the vote; and the more that senators in swing states worry about being reelected, the more controversial vote.
Put that all together, and on the Republican side, there’s usually going to be two to three votes that are…
