I think maybe I’ve cracked the code. And we’ll all know on Monday night after the Iowa Caucus. Or perhaps the night of the New Hampshire primary, at the latest.
I join millions who’ve watched these political polls with utter amazement. This time last year, Ron DeSantis, fresh off his spectacular and historic victory in Florida, according to the polls, seemed the presumed front-runner for the GOP nomination. It was his for the taking, or so it appeared.
Today, after almost eight months of relentless campaigning — he didn’t announce his candidacy until late May — and after untold millions of dollars spent on his behalf in support of what few deny was the most extraordinary ground game in politics, focused almost exclusively in Iowa, DeSantis has either remained static or, according to some polls, actually lost ground.
Here is what I think is happening writ-large in the…
