In my previous column, I set the stage for the last six months of the 2024 presidential election.
If the presidential election were (today), Donald Trump (would) become only the second president ousted from the White House to return four years later. Trump is currently leading in virtually all of the national and state polling — and he has been leading by around two points for almost a year now. To keep this in perspective, during 2016 and 2020, Trump rarely led in any polling, and never led in the average. Also, Trump is leading in virtually all the battleground states, and for Biden to win these battleground states, and thus the electoral college, he will almost certainly have to win the popular vote by at least three points, a five-point swing from where we currently are. Biden is also facing (six) huge electoral problems that make things even worse for him. The polling…
