When did a Republican presidential nominee last lead national polling in July? For that matter, when was the last time Donald Trump lead in national polling at all, before this cycle?
CNN’s Harry Enten explained this morning just how long it’s been for both, and why Democrats may have rational reasons to hit the panic button. And Enten may not be operating from the most recent data:
You have to hand it to @ForecasterEnten – his brutal and honest assessments are very profound on CNN. He tells it like it is. pic.twitter.com/F873apWPRx
— Justin Hart (@justin_hart) July 8, 2024
First off, Enten debunks Joe Biden’s claim that polls underestimated him in 2020. In fact, the polls turned out to be remarkably accurate in terms of the popular-vote results four years ago:
ENTEN: Right now Donald Trump leads in an aggregate of national polls by about three percentage points. If you go back four…
