The 2024 Presidential election fundamentals — and what they portend for the future — continued:
The three factors that could change the 2024 election’s trajectory that I mentioned before seem even less likely to be helpful to Biden than they were before. These factors are – major outside event(s); Republican screw-up(s); or Biden’s campaign rights itself – i.e., the campaign more effectively uses its assets:
A major outside event (literally) just happened – the attempted assassination of Donald Trump. This is likely to provide a polling boost for Trump, as it did for Ronald Reagan back in 1981. The most likely major outside events that could still occur are that an illegal alien, perhaps a foreign terrorist, kills or wounds a great number of U.S. civilians at home, or that another foreign war erupts that drags the U.S. in. Neither of these events is likely to rebound to…
