Hot Air

Have Polls Moved At All? – HotAir

Has the Kamala Harris Anointment reset the presidential race? Has it even reset voter assessment of Harris? Pollsters have rushed into the gap to answer those questions, perhaps a bit too soon to avoid a predicted honeymoon effect of finally burying Joe Biden.

Actually, scratch that. At least in the first-blush polls, nothing much has changed at all — not in the Trump-Biden head-to-head, and not in the Trump-Harris H2H polling either. Yet, anyway.

Yesterday, the big news came from a Reuters-Ipsos poll that showed Harris up by two points, albeit among registered voters. The numbers on that seemed a bit low as well, with Harris up only 44/42 in the two-candidate mode. However, a look at the Reuters/Ipsos series shows that their results have generally favored Biden in the past compared to other pollsters; their last Trump-Biden result was 43/41 for a +2 in a week when other pollsters…

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