“We’ve kind of been here before,” Harry Enten points out in this buzz-kill segment on CNN. Indeed we have, and CNN’s polling analyst pours some cold water on the idea that the race has changed all that much.
Consider this a bookend to my somewhat-sobering post yesterday about the perhaps-temporary boost in polling that Kamala Harris has received since her anointment as the replacement nominee for the Democrats. As I wrote yesterday, the bump has been real but not spectacular so far, and inasmuch as it changes the race from the rematch model, the rise in enthusiasm for the Democrat ticket was predictable.
Enten pushes back on two fronts. First off, the polling itself may be suspect, as pollsters routinely underestimate Trump’s strength, especially in the Blue Wall states. Via Mediaite:
3 caution points for Democrats…
1. Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point &…