Vice President Kamala Harris is, for all intents and purposes, the incumbent in the race for the presidency. She is the current vice president, has been “the last one in the room” for key decisions made by the Biden-Harris administration and, oh yeah, the current administration billed itself as the “Biden-Harris administration.”
And despite all the claims of “joy” and “excitement” and “momentum,” the race is, effectively, a tie. And a tie, as Harry Enten pointed out earlier this week, is all but a loss for Harris.
Pretty clear that Harris is ahead nationally right now… and I don’t think it matters all that much… Her advantage in the battlegrounds is basically nil.
Average it all, Harris’ chance of winning the popular vote is 70%. Her chance of winning the electoral college is 50%. pic.twitter.com/GzL7gUhxDv
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 16, 2024
So maybe it…
