The national polling is also very important for the Senate races. There are now three scenarios, or tiers, for the polling. Tier 1 polls have Kamala Harris up by more than 3 points, including Reuters, Morning Consult, CBS, NBC, and Yahoo. Tier 2 polls have her and Donald Trump in a statistical dead heat, including Quinnipiac, CNN, Rasmussen, Fox, Harris X, and Siena. Tier 3 has Trump up by 3 or more, and is Gallup and Atlas Intel. (Gallup refuses to give us actual head-to-head numbers, because they stopped doing that in 2012. However, it can be figured out from what they do give us.)
These three tiers can’t all be correct.
ANALYSIS: Returning to the Senate Races
While my buddy Cameron fears otherwise, I find the Tier 1 polls to be patently ridiculous. First, as I have belabored before, the economy is bad, the border is bad, and the world chaos is bad. And all of if was better…
