Three weeks and change until the presidential election, and things aren’t looking good for the Harris/Walz ticket. Donald Trump and JD Vance have narrowed the gap in most of the national polls, and in the RealClearPolitics (RCP) averages, the Republican candidates are leading in all but one of the swing state polls. The current breakdown as of this writing, on Sunday, October 13th, presents a picture that should have the Republicans cautiously optimistic.
- Arizona: Trump +1.0
- Nevada: Trump +0.2
- Wisconsin: Harris +0.3
- Michigan: Trump +0.9
- Pennsylvania: Trump +0.1
- North Carolina: Trump +0.5
- Georgia: Trump +0.5
Very cautiously optimistic.
None of these, mind you, are numbers that should have either campaign resting on their laurels. The same razor-thin margin that Harris has in Wisconsin applies as well to Donald Trump in Nevada and Pennsylvania, and he only has very slightly better odds in…
