Remember the Fall of 2022? The “Red Wave?”
We got cocky. I got cocky. I beclowned myself along with most other “prognosticators” by believing the hype that Republicans were going to have a great midterm election.
All the signs were there. The issue terrain was good. Biden’s numbers were in the toilet. The mood of the country was terrible. And still we barely scraped by with a House majority–and a disunited one at that.
Trump now has the lead in every swing state. pic.twitter.com/ie7NWK4zYn
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 16, 2024
There are lots of great signs out there for Donald Trump, and the moves of the Harris campaign stink of desperation. As Ed wrote earlier today, the new Marist poll shows Trump outperforming his 2020 numbers by whopping amounts.
The Marist poll data that dropped today shows how manipulating weighting works
Compared to raw Marist data Oct. 2020,…
