I’ve been writing about the trends in polling, and about the RealClearPolitics (RCP) averages, since the general election season started. There have been fits and starts; President Joe Biden was headed for a catastrophic loss, of course, until befuddled old Joe dropped out and let the Democrat Party apparatchiks anoint Vice President Kamala Harris as the candidate. Harris saw a slight bump after that because she wasn’t Biden; she didn’t get much of a bump out of the convention, and maybe a small one from the one presidential debate. Aside from those little bumps, the trend has been clearly towards former President Donald Trump; slowly, but surely, Trump has been gaining ground.
As you know if you’ve been reading my prognostications, I don’t place much stock in individual polls. I reference the RCP averages because they, to some degree, discount the outliers and give a decent…
