Too fun to check? Probably, but it does correlate to the trendlines seen in betting markets and polls over the last couple of weeks. A new HarrisX/Forbes poll shows Donald Trump up nationally by two points, 51/49, in a head-to-head matchup with Kamala Harris. The battleground results show something quite different, however.
First the topline:
Trump leads 51% to 49% nationally when the survey factors in likely voters who are leaning toward one candidate, according to the online poll of 1,244 likely voters taken Oct. 21-22 and released Wednesday (margin of error 2.5)—a noticeable shift from Harris’ four-point lead last month.
In a four-way race with third-party candidates Cornel West and Jill Stein on on the ballot, Trump leads by one point, 49% to 48% nationally among likely voters, when so-called learners are factored in.
Without leaners, Trump and Harris are tied at 47% among…
