There’s a lot of polling data floating around out there that looks very encouraging for GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump in terms of who has the most momentum heading into Election Day, who seems to be connecting best with the voters they need to, whose ground game appears to have the edge, etc.
Understandably, conservatives are very wary of being given too much in the way of good news in one direction after the “Red Wave” of 2022 that never really materialized. There’s a real concern out there of a repeat of that in 2024, where GOP voters excitedly tune in for election results on Election Night only to come away discouraged and disgusted.
One good way to confirm polling information is not “too good to be true” is to track trends over time, in particular, voting patterns over a few election cycles (including primaries) that consistently show changes in…
