One of the more confusing things about this election cycle is the total disconnect between what the polls are showing–a race with Kamala Harris slightly but consistently ahead–and all the other data we see with our own eyes.
Pollsters find lots of people who have swung heavily toward Kamala Harris despite the same people thinking she was an ineffective and vapid Vice President two months ago.
But then you see reporters in search of Harris voters, and they are pretty scarce on the ground. There are even accounts on Twitter tracking the cell phones of attendees at Harris rallies, which show that many of the people attending aren’t local and seem to show up at a remarkable number of these events, suggesting they are bussed in.
Then you see focus groups like this one:
NEW: Black undecided voters in Georgia say the economy was better under Donald Trump, think Kamala Harris is…