All of us — at least those who have been paying attention for the last eight years — remember the 2016 presidential election polling debacle. Many of us went to sleep that night depressed at the horrendous prospect of Her Imperial Majesty Hillary I, Dowager-Empress of Chappaqua, occupying the Oval Office for four years. The polling, after all, had Her Imperial Highness winning by a wide margin — but we awoke the next morning to a very different world.
In 2020, the polls were similarly wrong. Most of the battleground state polls that year showed Joe Biden holding significant leads, when the final count came in with Biden winning by a narrow margin.
Could 2024’s polling be hiding a similar miscalculation? Could there be a Trump surge that the pollsters aren’t catching?
The race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris might not be as tight as the
