I will not believe in single polls. I will not believe in single polls. I will not believe in single polls.
But that doesn’t mean we can’t look at them in the final days of the election cycle. As everyone tries to get a read on voters in the Blue Wall battleground states, each new survey gives us a little more clarity. Or so we hope, but the new USA Today/Suffolk poll delivers more ambiguity about Pennsylvania instead. In their sample of just 500 likely voters (!), they find the presidential race tied at 49/49.
However, some of the crosstab data may offer clues:
A poll of 300 likely voters in Erie County, which could indicate which way the state trends, was also tied 48% to 48%. Northampton County, another Pennsylvania bellwether, leaned slightly towards Trump, with 50% saying they supported him, to Harris’ 48%. The results of the county polls are within the…
