In 2016, few saw the collapse of the Democrats’ “blue wall” in the Midwest. In 2020, they hailed its return in Joe Biden’s narrow win as a sign that Hillary Clinton’s failure had been an anomaly and not a political realignment.
This cycle, not only has the worry returned, now everyone can see it coming. Even Democrats, according to NBC News:
Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. The conversations have focused on whether Michigan or Wisconsin “fall” to former President Donald Trump while the two other states go blue, according to three sources with knowledge of the campaign’s strategy.
Losing Wisconsin or Michigan would mean that even if Harris secures Pennsylvania — where both Harris and Trump have spent the most time and resources — she would not reach the necessary 270…
