There’s no normal sense of the word in which Hamas’ experience at the hands of Israel since 10/7 could be called a win. On the ground, Hamas has lost thousands of fighters since Israel invaded Gaza. The exact number is unknown but Israel claimed several months ago that the total number of Hamas fighters killed was over 10,000. The IDF recently upgraded that claim to 15,000. Hamas has denied both claims but last month Politico reported that US estimates were that 30-35 percent of Hamas’ initial force of 35,000 had been killed. That puts the number of fighters killed in the 10-12,000 range.
That doesn’t sound like victory to me but for Yahya Sinwar, the Hamas leader believed to be the mastermind behind the 10/7 attack, he still seems to believe his side is winning. Sinwar is hiding in the tunnels somewhere deep beneath Rafah, though his exact location is unknown. According to recent…