The natural cynic in me is loathe to ever partake in analyzing early voting numbers, but there is one exception. Jon Ralston has a long history of breaking down the data in Nevada and has proven that his model should be taken seriously. With that said, it’s panic time for Kamala Harris.
Ralston has released his latest blog on the early returns, and they paint a picture of a race slipping away from the Harris campaign. Things are so bad that she’d now need to dramatically overperform with independents to make up the difference.
ALSO SEE: Zeroing in on Key Polling Data That Could Spell Disaster for Kamala Harris
The early voting blog is updated!
Rs have added 2K to lead, which is now 31,000, or 5%. GOP surge slowed a bit Saturday, but Republicans still gained.
Dems need to decisively win indies to make this a late Election Night.