What could Alexander Lukashenko hope to gain by joining Vladimir Putin’s genocide in Ukraine — especially now? Despite owing his office (and likely his continued ability to breathe) to Putin, Lukashenko wisely demurred in February from tying his fate to the invasion when Lukashenko’s help might have contributed to the presumed quick victory of his patron. Even the hint of such cooperation in the war triggered sabotage and threats of rebellion against the teetering dictator in Belarus.