We’ve been covering a lot of the polls, focus groups, betting markets, and other indicators in regard to the election.
But there was a funny catfight between two people who are election prognosticators, Professor Allan Lichtman and Nate Silver.
Lichtman has a system where he applies true or false questions to 13 questions. if there are six or more false answers, the challenger — in this case, former President Donald Trump — would win. But Lichtman has interpreted his keys and he’s predicting Kamala Harris will win.
This is how he’s interpreted the keys:
- Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previous midterm elections. FALSE
- Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. TRUE
- Incumbency: The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.
