There are some more interesting data points out that have to make the Democrats pretty nervous when it comes to Kamala Harris’ chances.
First, there’s more positive polling from Insider Advantage/Trafalgar Group. I’ve been trying to look at the historically more accurate polls like that, rather than the spate of polls that seem to just be push polls or D+ a lot weighted polls.
Trafalgar/Insider Advantage, one of the most accurate pollsters in 2020, has former President Trump up in every swing state by at least one, up 2.2 in Pennsylvania and Michigan.:
#Updated Electoral Map Based on Trafalgar/Insider Advantage polling
🟥 Trump 296 🏆
🟦 Harris 226
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Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump +2.2
Michigan – 🔴 Trump +2.2
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump +1.1
Arizona – 🔴 Trump +1
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump +1
Nevada – 🔴 Trump +1
Georgia – 🟡 Tie
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