The race is tied in a two-way sample, and Trump is up one if you include third-party candidates.
That’s the bottom line in the NYT/Siena Poll, and that is terrible news for Kamala Harris.
Breaking News: Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are deadlocked, the final New York Times/Siena College national poll finds. The electorate has rarely seemed so evenly divided. https://t.co/IXDSy2jeM5
— The New York Times (@nytimes) October 25, 2024
If you don’t know much about American politics, you would call this race a toss-up, and in a sense, it still is. Kamala Harris COULD win, even without cheating perhaps, but the odds are very much stacked against her. In recent decades, the Democrats needed a 2-3 point national popular vote lead to win in the Electoral College, and there is little reason to believe that this time is different.
That’s because Democrat voters are…