Thus far, we’ve avoided focusing on single polls in the presidential election. Having been burned by that approach in the past, we have instead watched trends across aggregated poll data to ensure we don’t get ahead of our skis.
The Quinnipiac poll released late yesterday justifies an exception. First, we’re coming down to final iterations in the closing days of the campaign, where pollsters presumably will do their best to ensure accuracy compared to the election outcomes. And second, this is the first time Quinnipiac has shown Donald Trump with a lead — any lead — in Pennsylvania (hat tip to A.W. Guerra in Thursday’s Wednesday’s Final Word):
Trump receives 47 percent support among likely voters, Harris receives 46 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver receives 1 percent…
