Plus ça change, plus c’est la meme chose. Or at least, la meme chose circa late spring.
CNN has new battleground-state polling data, some of which looks good for Kamala Harris — but only in a literal sense. Harris has reset the race to the status quo ante that existed before the debate, erasing the sharp drop in support for Democrats. However, CNN’s analysis overlooks critical context of this data:
The 2024 presidential campaign’s home stretch kicks off with a mixed outlook across six key battlegrounds, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in each state. Vice President Kamala Harris holds an advantage over former President Donald Trump among likely voters in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump has the edge in Arizona. The two split likely voters almost evenly in Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, the state with the largest electoral vote prize that’s widely seen as up…