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Trump Leads Harris 48 to 47 in Final 2024 Kaplan Poll of ‘Gender Turnout’ Election – RedState

President Donald J. Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris with 48 percent over her 47 percent in a national poll conducted Oct 31 by Kaplan Strategies with 671 registered voters.





“The race has been locked up inside the margin of error for the last 100 or so days since Harris was anointed by President Joe Biden as his successor as the party’s nominee,” said Doug Kaplan, the founder and president of the Kissimmee, Florida-based political consulting shop. The poll carries a 3.8 percentage point margin of error.

“It may not seem like one point is a big deal, but in the context of the national or popular vote, it means more because California and New York are 15 percent of the population, where Democrats run up votes they don’t need,” he said.

“In 2020, Biden got eight million extra votes in those two states that had nothing to do with the…

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