The silly season is well and truly underway. At this point, in late February, it looks like former President Donald Trump has the Republican nomination sewn up, barring some catastrophe; and the Democrats, while fretting some about Joe Biden’s visible decline, don’t seem to be making any move to dump him – more on that after we take a look at some 2024 swing-state polls. Poll results are taken from the RealClearPolling compilation, while the 2020 results are from CNN’s 2020 recap.
Also: In this analysis, since I’m looking at trends more than the actual results, I’m not getting into trying to figure out how any electoral shenanigans (and there were doubtless plenty) may have affected the 2020 race; I’m going on the final, certified results, for better or for worse.
Just to get an idea where things are now, on this penultimate day of February, let’s look at some polls in swing states Joe…
