Hot Air

Wait — Trump Leads Indies By *How* Much in New Marist Poll? – HotAir

Strange things are afoot at the Marist Circle-K. 

On our earlier post on polling and trendlines, a couple of commenters pointed out that the RCP average lead for Kamala Harris increased slightly today after a couple of new national polls dropped. One of these, Marquette Law, shows the national race a dead heat at 50/50. The other, however, came from Marist and shows Harris with a five-point lead and a majority at 52/47. Their previous two iterations put Harris up by 2 at the end of September, and by one at the beginning of the same month:

Harris (52%) leads Trump (47%) among likely voters nationally, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Earlier this month, two points separated Harris (50%) and Trump (48%) among likely voters.

That does look like momentum. Except for this one small problem, that is:

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